May 21, 2020
As US-China tensions fuel economic nationalism and protectionism, globalisation could be coming to an end. Xiaolan Fu, director of the Technology and Management Centre for Development at the University of Oxford, joins OMFIF’s Brandon Chye to discuss the short-term disruptions and long-term transformations to global value chains and international trade.
May 19, 2020
James Blair, fixed income investment director at Capital Group, joins Pierre Ortlieb, economist at OMFIF, to discuss the state of play in global bond markets. They cover Capital Group’s approach to credit investments, opportunities in emerging markets, and the global central bank response to the pandemic shock. Other themes include the global long-term interest rate landscape and the outlook for currency and commodities markets.
May 15, 2020
In response to the Covid-19 health crisis, the Federal Reserve has taken a number of policy actions to help steady both the US economy and global dollar liquidity. James Bullard, president and chief executive officer of the Federal Reserve Bank of St Louis, joins David Marsh, chairman of OMFIF, to discuss the Federal Reserve’s policies, an outlook for the US economy and global consequences of the pandemic.
This was recorded as part of a live panel discussion.
May 15, 2020
The International Monetary Fund projects a significant contraction in all parts of the world as a result of the Covid-19 crisis. Lockdown measures and uncertainty about the return to work, as well as what a ‘new normal’ would look like, are having a serious impact on how to forecast future growth. Gian Maria Milesi-Ferretti, deputy director in the IMF’s research department, discusses the baseline scenario in the World Economic Outlook, and the potential ways forward for the global economy in 2020-21.
Download the presentation slides referenced:
May 14, 2020
Before the pandemic, the inherent imbalances which had built up after a decade of monetary policy intervention had resulted in excess debt and probable future instability. Bill White, former chairman of the economic and development review committee of the Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development, joins Mark Burgess, Asia chairman of OMFIF. They discuss what the Covid-19 outbreak means for policy-makers, emerging market debt prior to the crisis, and shadow banking.
May 12, 2020
Part two of the OMFIF/EY Covid response series
What are the consequences of addressing the consequences? In this edition, OMFIF's John Orchard and EY's David Barker discuss the shock-and-awe measures by governments to rescue their economies from the Covid-19 crisis and the short- and medium-term implications for their finance ministries. What are the paths out of the emergency schemes? How are governments planning to restart their economies and what will it mean for their finances, and their financial sectors? How is this crisis fundamentally reordering their priorities in both developed and emerging economies?
May 7, 2020
How are commercial banks coping with Covid-19? Obliged to implement government-guaranteed lending quickly while also handling other crisis-related operational and commercial challenges, they have their work cut out. What has worked well and what has not, yet? How are the opposing needs of speed and prudence reconciled? How are banks preparing for impairments to their loan books? What does the crisis mean for their digital transformations? And is this the opportunity to restore the reputational damage of 10 years ago? OMFIF Chief Executive Officer John Orchard discusses these themes with Jan Bellens, global sector leader, banking & capital markets at EY.
Download the written conversation: https://www.omfif.org/wp-content/uploads/2020/05/Transcript-EY-Jan-Bellens-JO-vers.docx